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2024-12-14 00:31:12

Exempting the transfer of shares or units of REITs and the securities distribution business of option makers will enhance the competitiveness of Hong Kong REITs and reduce the transaction costs of option makers. Revising the stamp duty collection arrangement will promote the efficiency of stamping and stamp duty collection procedures in the paperless securities market environment.There will be no surprises on Thursday!The previous wave of adjustment of the Hang Seng Index was to step back on the long-term trend line at the daily level, which gained support and rebounded recently. Today, it closed above the offensive line, and the long-term trend at the daily level remains intact. On the monthly level, it fell below the offensive line last month, but it is above the offensive line at present, and it closed above 19,738 points this month. The problem is not big, and the long-term trend remains intact, and there is a basis for further strength.


So will heavyweights and large-cap stocks exert their strength? Looking at the trend of SSE 50, it is still very possible, because at present, the monthly trend of SSE 50 index is intact, and the index remains above the offensive line and above the long-term trend line. At present, it has the foundation to start a big market. Looking back, the index must remain above the monthly offensive line in all big markets, so this is a prerequisite. Since it is also available now, we can certainly expect something.The previous wave of adjustment of the Hang Seng Index was to step back on the long-term trend line at the daily level, which gained support and rebounded recently. Today, it closed above the offensive line, and the long-term trend at the daily level remains intact. On the monthly level, it fell below the offensive line last month, but it is above the offensive line at present, and it closed above 19,738 points this month. The problem is not big, and the long-term trend remains intact, and there is a basis for further strength.This afternoon, the Government of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region welcomed the passage of the Stamp Duty Legislation (Miscellaneous Amendments) Bill 2024 by the Legislative Council, which exempted the transfer of shares or units of real estate investment trusts and the securities distribution business of option makers, and revised the stamp duty collection arrangements under the paperless securities market system in Hong Kong.


A major breakthrough! Quantum technology frenzy strikesThe latest CPI data will be released tonight. The market expects the overall inflation rate to be 2.7%, 0.1 percentage point higher than that in October, and the core inflation rate is expected to be 3.3%, which is the same as that in October. Although the forecast data shows that the suppression of inflation by monetary policy is close to stagnation, it has dropped sharply compared with the previous peak of 9%. At present, the latest FEDWATCH data shows that the possibility of the Fed cutting interest rates next Tuesday is over 80%.At present, the market has also reached a very critical stage. If the large-cap stocks of heavyweights don't make efforts to push the index to a higher level, the short-term risk is relatively large in terms of the current position of CSI 2000 and micro-cap stocks. For example, the CSI 2000 index closed at 2635.58 today, and the high point in January 2022 was 2700.24, which is very close. It has not crossed this high point for more than two years, which shows that the pressure here is very great. If the market does not continue to launch upward, then it is impossible to complete an effective breakthrough by relying on small-cap stocks themselves, and it is impossible to get out of the independent market. Once the platform is effectively established, a larger level of space will be opened, and small-cap stocks will hopefully step out of a larger level of market. Otherwise, this wave of sharp rebound may stop here.

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